Our favorite Ravens-Steelers player prop bets for Week 11

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Alex Highsmith #56 of the Pittsburgh Steelers sacks Lamar Jackson #8 of the Baltimore Ravens during the third quarter at Acrisure Stadium on October 08, 2023 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images

We go over the lines on FanDuel Sportsbook and pick out our favorite player prop bets to consider for the Steelers Week 11 matchup against the Baltimore Ravens.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are preparing for their first divisional matchup of the year in Week 11, hosting the Baltimore Ravens at Acrisure Stadium in a battle of the AFC North. It’s a crucial matchup on both sides, as Pittsburgh holds a half-game lead in the division, and whichever team emerges with the victory will leave with the division lead … for now.

As if there’s not enough already on the line in this outing, here are a few of our favorite Ravens-Steelers player props to consider for Week 11.

George Pickens OVER 70.5 receiving yards (-113)

The Baltimore Ravens have had a stout rushing defense, which has forced teams to lean on the pass … and it’s worked. The Ravens have allowed league highs with 1,992 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns to opposing wide receivers this year. They’re also giving up a league-high 54 explosive passing plays (15+ yards) on targets to wide receivers. Their secondary is giving up 8.7 yards per attempt on targets to opposing wide receivers — tied for the fourth-highest YPA average — while tying for the fourth-highest NFL passer rating on such targets.

Over the past three weeks alone, the Ravens have allowed five different wide receivers 79 or more receiving yards, including Ja’Marr Chase, Courtland Sutton, Cedric Tillman, Elijah Moore and Jerry Jeudy. Given Pickens’ high target share with Russell Wilson, having been targeted on 21 of Wilson’s 79 pass attempts, and the efficiency the Ravens are allowing on such attempts, the over for this breakout WR feels like a nice spot.

QB Lamar Jackson UNDER 41.5 rushing yards (-113)

It’s unclear how well the Steelers defense will be able to contain Lamar Jackson as a passer, but as a runner, they may have perfected a certain blueprint for containment through the first nine games.

The Steelers have allowed the second-lowest EPA per carry (-0.44) and second-lowest rush yards over expectation per carry (-0.9) to opposing quarterbacks per NFL Next Gen Stats. That’s amounted to the sixth-lowest rushing success rate under such circumstances, and the second-fewest rushing yards allowed to QBs all season despite having played a number of proficient rushing quarterbacks through nine games this season.

Bo Nix (25 yards), Anthony Richardson (24), Daniel Jones (1) and Jayden Daniels (5) — four players ranked top-eight among QBs in rushing yards this season — were limited to a combined 55 rushing yards. Expect the Steelers to approach Jackson’s rushing ability similarly.

Lamar Jackson to throw an INT (+116)

Lamar Jackson has thrown just two interceptions all season, but if the Pittsburgh Steelers are able to replicate the recipe they’ve compiled over the years to stop Lamar Jackson. His 4-7 TD:INT ratio against the Steelers is Jackson’s worst among any opponent in his career, and the Steelers should be able to get pressure early and often with T.J. Watt, Nick Herbig and Preston Smith rushing the passer, while CB Donte Jackson and safeties DeShon Elliott and Minkah Fitzpatrick are in waiting to take advantage for the INT. Jackson has thrown an interception in each of his last four games against the Steelers.

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