Justin Fields Likely To Test Market; Steelers Looking Into Outside QB Addition

The Steelers have been talking to both Justin Fields and Russell Wilson for weeks, but no signing has taken place. It can naturally be assumed complications have interfered with the team’s rumored plan to retain Fields. Recent reports seem to indicate that is the case.

We heard Friday that Fields has a burgeoning market, and The Athletic’s Dianna Russini points to the young QB reaching free agency to hear offers from other clubs. The Jets will be one of the teams in pursuit, NFL.com’s Ian Rapoport adds. A Jets-Fields connection emerged recently, and with two options on this market not in play for Gang Green (Sam Darnold and Aaron Rodgers, the latter of whom about to be a Jets release), Fields would make sense — as a bridge if nothing else.

Other teams have interest in Fields, too, Rapoport adds. This will drive up the Steeler backup’s price and test the AFC North team’s resolve. As the Steelers have been primarily connected to only Fields and Wilson, the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette’s Gerry Dulac reports the team has not dismissed pursuing an outside free agent to solve its QB issue.

The team has enjoyed plenty of time to both evaluate their in-house options and conduct negotiations, even though it does not talk extensions in-season. Both passers have clashed with the coaching staff, though. Fields was understandably upset when Mike Tomlin overruled player and staffer support to keep him as a starter, but the veteran HC did not turn back to Fields after making the call to bench him for Wilson once the latter recovered from his calf injury. The Steelers’ Wilson path started well but ended badly, with the team losing its final five games.

Wilson also clashed with OC Arthur Smith, with Dulac adding the two disagreed about the state of the offense. Wilson being upset about an offense’s direction would continue a refrain. He had disagreed with Pete Carroll‘s plan in Seattle, at the height of the “Let Russ cook” movement, and received tremendous input into the direction of the Denver offense during Nathaniel Hackett‘s doomed HC stay. Sean Payton and Wilson did not prove a fit, as a messy divorce commenced. Wilson has been expected to leave Pittsburgh, but if Fields is lured away by a strong offer elsewhere, the 36-year-old may need to be a fallback option.

If the Steelers are to look outside for a new QB, they would have options in Darnold, Rodgers, Daniel Jones and perhaps Kirk Cousins. Beyond Darnold, these options would serve as temporary fixes. Rodgers and Cousins, though, would remind of Wilson’s situations, as other teams would be on the hook for the veterans’ salaries. As of now, however, the Falcons are holding firm on Cousins. A release remains a possibility, however.

The Jets not having Rodgers or Darnold as options and sitting behind the Titans, Browns and Giants in the draft would stand to ramp up a Fields push. The former three-year Bears starter could serve as a multiyear option in New York, which as an OC (Tanner Engstrand) who observed Fields closely while on an NFC North staff. Fields going into his age-26 season would appeal to suitors as well. If Darnold is now most likely to be a Seahawk, the Fields domino would be next to fall.

The Steelers have until 11am CT Monday to keep him off the market. As of now, that appears unlikely to happen. Were Fields to remain unsigned by that point, the Steelers could still bring him back. They would just have to bid against other teams to do so.

Outside Suitors To Push Steelers For Justin Fields; QB’s 2024 Benching Remains Factor?

As a lukewarm quarterback draft class awaits, several teams need 2025 starters — either for bridge or longer-term purposes. Holding the No. 21 overall pick, the Steelers profile as a team interested in a veteran to keep the reins beyond next season, and it would appear they have a clear preference.

Several reports have pegged the Steelers as ready to retain Justin Fields and separate from Russell Wilson. Only beginning negotiations this offseason (due to a long-held Steelers rule against in-season talks), the team has been in contact with both players.

Unlike other QB-needy teams, steady reports tying the Steelers to outside free agents have not emerged. An either/or plan with Wilson and Fields has long been in place. Fields is more than 10 years younger than the player he primarily backed up last season, but being a clear-cut backup to becoming the same team’s preferred starter option is a somewhat strange arc for a fifth-year quarterback.

Fields, however, has also been connected to other teams. The Colts, Giants, Jets and Raiders have come up as suitors looking into the former first-round pick, and CBS Sports’ Aditi Kinkhabwala indicates the Fields market appears to be rising. PFR’s No. 8 free agent in this class, Fields could have an option to venture to a team willing to pay more than the Steelers. Though, Pittsburgh could be left scrambling in that scenario. Fields’ market is about to put the Steelers to a test, as it may take more than the team initially planned to keep the 2024 trade acquisition.

Fields has spoken highly of the Steelers, per Kinkhabwala, but the veteran reporter also notes an issue may remain between the young quarterback and Mike Tomlin. Support from players and some assistants existed to keep Fields in the starting lineup after Wilson’s calf healed last year, but Tomlin overruled them, confirming he “acted alone” when it came to giving Wilson his job back. We have heard for several months about the support Fields has gained in the organization, but Kinkhabwala refers to potential “distrust” when assessing Fields’ 2024 Steelers season.

After benching Fields once Wilson recovered by Week 7, Tomlin never turned back to him save for a few package plays. The veteran HC preferred Wilson’s superior passing skills. For a while, he was proven right; the Steelers, though, lost their final five games.

This component would seem to be significant, especially if Fields’ market proves to be robust. Indianapolis, Las Vegas and both New York teams join Cleveland and Tennessee in needing at least a bridge quarterback. The Titans have been connected to Sam Darnold, joining the rest of this lot — save for the Colts — but Fields is two years younger and has three-plus years of starter experience.

While he did not exactly wow as a passer in Pittsburgh, reminding of his Chicago tenure, the Ohio State product is one of the best runners the position has ever seen. Although the Steelers will need to see more from Fields as a passer, he stands out on this year’s FA market due to his age. Darnold, Wilson, Aaron Rodgers and perhaps Kirk Cousins will be available, with Daniel Jones also in the mix. The Steelers could pivot to another QB, but they are in need of some stability — after their Kenny Pickett plan failed — moving forward.

The perennial contender would not be securing immediate access to having an upper-echelon QB if it re-signs Fields, as the Steelers will be viewed as a low-ceiling team until they prove otherwise. But options are limited regarding young players with upside in this market. Fields’ eventual landing spot and his price will be one of this free agency period’s top storylines.

2025 NFL Top 50 Free Agents

After 2024 brought a record-setting salary cap spike, the 2025 league year introduced a jump that rivals it. We continue to see year-to-year leaps that dwarf what the 2011 CBA brought. Last year’s climb presented good news for many top-tier free agents; the batch that headlines this year’s market will be in line to follow suit. Now that the franchise tag deadline has passed, a clearer picture of the 2025 free agent market emerges.

The aim for PFR’s top 50 remains contract-based. Although players like Bobby Wagner and Tyron Smith are All-Decade-teamers bound for the Hall of Fame, they will not appear here. Big names are still part of this list. The wide receiver and cornerback markets are flooded with veterans seeking a second (or third) significant payday. As usual, this list centers around who will fare the best in terms of guaranteed money. Though, shorter-term contracts — in an effort to keep up with the cap surges — increasing in popularity has made gauging that component more complicated. With some help from trusted colleague Adam La Rose, here is our best effort at sorting through that.

Players who could be released at the start of the 2025 league year or soon after are not included, only those out of contract for the ’25 season appear below. Teams have until 11am CT March 10 to keep free agents-to-be off the market. In Year 33 of full-fledged NFL free agency, here are the top options for teams to target once the legal tampering period starts:

1. Sam Darnold, QB. Age in Week 1: 28

The quarterback tag has ballooned to $40.24MM, which proved to be too much for the Vikings to stomach. As Minnesota has a handful of starters nearing the market, circling back to Darnold at a (slightly) lower rate remains in play. But the Vikings will now run the risk of losing their 2024 J.J. McCarthy bridge, one that proved much sturdier than most expected.

For the second straight year, a Vikings quarterback headlines PFR’s Top 50 Free Agents list. Kirk Cousins came through with a four-year, $180MM deal in 2024, doing so despite entering an age-36 season and coming off an Achilles tear. The Falcons had a decade’s worth of starter work to evaluate with Cousins, who did not live up to the investment – which included $90MM guaranteed at signing. Darnold has only delivered one quality season. Like Cousins, Darnold excelled under Kevin O’Connell and targeting Justin Jefferson in an offense also featuring Jordan Addison and T.J. Hockenson. Teams’ hesitancy about Darnold’s chances of replicating his Pro Bowl season without similar weaponry is warranted.

This complicates Darnold’s bounce-back case, but several teams need QBs during a year where the draft does not look like it will produce surefire answers. Although rumblings about Darnold having a modest market have circulated, he is the top option available and should have a few teams showing clear interest. The Raiders and Giants have been tied to Darnold, ditto the Browns. The Steelers should be interested, but they appear to have their sights set on re-signing Justin Fields. The 2021 draftee also has not put together the kind of season Darnold just did. If the Jets did not have the history they do with Darnold, they would make sense as a destination as well.

Drawing a $4.5MM offer in 2023 (from the 49ers) and choosing the Vikings’ $10MM proposal last March, Darnold has made a remarkable rise to this place. While his surge can be compared to Baker Mayfield’s, Darnold’s 2018 draft classmate had shown extended flashes in Cleveland. Darnold washed out of New York and was not a priority in Carolina, with the Panthers instead making a monster trade to acquire a No. 1 overall pick that went to Bryce Young. Darnold bided his time and has received extensive tutelage in the Kyle Shanahan and Sean McVay (via O’Connell) offenses.

Darnold’s 35 touchdown passes last season eclipsed his career high by 16; his 66.2% completion rate was more than four points better than his previous top number. Darnold’s previous best before his 4,319-yard season: 3,024 with the 2019 Jets. It is easy to see why skepticism exists, as a multiyear guarantee at a Mayfield-level rate (at least) will be required. Overpaying free agents is a tried-and-true NFL tradition, but someone will take a chance on Darnold being the answer. Mayfield received $50MM in total guarantees – on a three-year deal. Darnold could push to top that on a four-year pact, as the salary cap has spiked by another $24MM since the Mayfield-Buccaneers agreement. A Daniel Jones-like guarantee at signing ($81MM) is probably too high, but Derek Carr‘s $60MM number (ahead of an age-32 season) may not be.

The Vikings have Jones as a backup plan, a solution that would effectively make the ex-Giant the 2025 Darnold behind McCarthy. It would not make too much sense for Darnold, with his value where it now is, to accept a multiyear Vikings pact due to McCarthy’s presence. Similarly, re-signing Darnold would cut into Minnesota’s ability to capitalize on McCarthy’s rookie contract. A tag represented the most logical option to keep Darnold in the Twin Cities; that deadline passing opens the door to one of the more interesting QB free agencies in recent history.

The seven-year veteran, who has 56 pre-Minnesota starts teams can judge, will slide in as a player whom clubs can talk themselves into as having a Mayfield- and Geno Smith-like resurgence. Both QBs have sustained their belated breakouts, and that will help Darnold. Though, Smith and Mayfield did not relocate after breaking through. Darnold would be best positioned to sustain his by remaining a Viking, but McCarthy – whom the Vikings built their 2024 offseason around – has tremendous internal support. Bigger money should await elsewhere.

2. Josh Sweat, EDGE. Age in Week 1: 28

Fairly well regarded going into 2024, Sweat still needed to accept a pay cut to stay with the Eagles. As the team rearranged its defensive line after Fletcher Cox’s retirement, it opted to retain Sweat and swap out Haason Reddick for Bryce Huff. The latter’s $17MM-AAV contract is teetering on bust status, as he was a healthy scratch for Super Bowl LIX. Fortunately for the Eagles, they could rely on Sweat, who cemented his value with a dominant performance to expose All-Pro guard Joe Thuney as miscast at left tackle and remind suitors about a promising combination of production and prime years remaining.

Sweat showed the value agreeing to a three-year second contract can bring. That midrange 2021 extension (three years, $40MM) has Sweat set to play out the 2025 season at 28. He should be well positioned to cash in, with the 2.5-sack Super Bowl reminding of Shaq Barrett’s effort against Patrick Mahomes and Co. ahead of his free agency. Barrett, who was exiting his age-28 campaign when the Buccaneers barreled over the Chiefs in Super Bowl LV, signed a four-year deal worth $72MM. The cap has climbed by $97MM since.

Unlike Barrett, Sweat has no sack title on his resume. One double-digit sack season appears there; his 11-sack 2022 helped the Eagles threaten the 1984 Bears’ single-season record. Sweat leaving Philadelphia would stand to move all four of the double-digit sack performers from that ultra-productive season off the Eagles’ roster, with Brandon Graham expected to retire.

Sweat may become too expensive for an Eagles team, as creative as they are with contract structure, to afford. They are expected to lose their top EDGE. The Eagles have Nolan Smith in place as a starter and, theoretically, Huff at the other spot. Third-rounder Jalyx Hunt, who joined the Super Bowl sack brigade, is likely to see his role expand if Sweat departs (that is, if the Eagles cannot swing a Myles Garrett blockbuster).

After back-to-back seasons of 23 QB hits, Sweat only compiled 15 during his eight-sack 2024. That sack total still led the Eagles, whose defensive blueprint smothered the Commanders and Chiefs as the team peaked at the ideal point. Sweat’s 16 pressures still ranked only 92nd this past season, after his 37 in 2023 checked in 10th. The Super Bowl, however, probably put to rest any doubts about Sweat’s difference-making abilities, as the Chiefs had kept Mahomes cleaner for much of Thuney’s tackle stretch.

Jonathan Greenard fetched a four-year, $76MM deal from the Vikings last year. Greenard was two years younger than Sweat when he signed that contract. The cap having gone up coupled with the value Sweat showed post-Reddick gives him a good chance to eclipse that deal and move into the $20MM-plus-per-year bracket. Before this offseason’s EDGE payday frenzy takes place – as the likes of T.J. Watt, Micah Parsons and Trey Hendrickson are in contract years and Garrett is set to command a monster offer from the Browns (or another team) – Sweat will benefit from the cap spike with what should be a solid second-tier pact at the position.

3. Milton Williams, DT. Age in Week 1: 26

Like Sweat and Zack Baun, Williams picked a good time to break through. The 2021 third-round pick, who famously drew an on-air disagreement between Howie Roseman and veteran exec Tom Donahoe, helped the Eagles cover for Fletcher Cox’s retirement. Williams came in with career-high numbers in sacks (five) and QB hits (10) as a part-time starter last season. The Louisiana Tech product totaled 18 pressures as well, ranking sixth in DT pass rush win rate.

This emergence will set up the interior disruptor for a big payday. Williams adding three sacks between the NFC championship game and Super Bowl LIX, complete with the sack-strip-recovery sequence as the Eagles finished off their rout of the Chiefs, will help his cause. The Eagles have the futures of Jordan Davis and Jalen Carter to address. Although Williams expressed an openness to staying in Philly, the team’s roster math points him out of town.

Interior defensive line-wise, this is not a deep group of free agents. Especially after the Cowboys took Osa Odighizuwa off the market via a four-year, $80MM deal. That will help Williams, even though he does not have a take-notice resume, stats-wise. PFF, however, rated him as the No. 1 overall pass rusher among interior D-linemen. Williams will be a player to watch for a sneaky-big contract agreement.

Ex-Williams teammate Javon Hargrave scored $21MM-per-year terms in 2023 and the market then exploded. The spring-summer wave of extensions that year (Daron Payne, Dexter Lawrence, Jeffery Simmons, Quinnen Williams) elevated the non-Aaron Donald market. Nnamdi Madubuike, Chris Jones and Christian Wilkins established a new top tier in 2024, one that starts at $48.5MM fully guaranteed. Williams now has a chance to test the new market as a free agent, doing so after the cap climbed by nearly $25MM from when the last round of deals came to pass.

4. Ronnie Stanley, LT. Age in Week 1: 31

Not ultimately rewarding the Ravens for their then-top-market extension in 2020, Stanley both hurt his third-contract value while attached to that accord and belatedly saved face with a 2024 rebound. The Ravens gave Stanley a significant pay cut, reducing his base salary by $7.5MM, last year. The former No. 6 overall pick responded by playing in a career-high 17 games and earning his second Pro Bowl nod. Last season will not be enough to completely erase the previous four – which injuries largely defined – but Stanley is a talented player at the O-line’s premier position.

Pass block win rate placed Stanley 12th among tackles last season, while PFF was a bit more skeptical, ranking the Notre Dame alum 37th at tackle for the third straight slate. Not quite delivering on the promise he showed before the career-reshaping ankle injury – one that led to three surgeries before the 2021 season began – Stanley suiting up for every game last season will prompt suitors to strongly consider a franchise LT-level deal. A market beginning at $21MM AAV has been floated. Though, his having missed 36 games from 2020-23 will probably reduce the guarantee ceiling.

Had Stanley not sustained that injury in Week 6 of the 2020 season, he almost definitely would not be hitting free agency now. As the Bills (Dion Dawkins), Broncos (Garett Bolles) and Lions (Taylor Decker) showed last year, teams have a habit of keeping quality LTs off the market on third contracts. Those deals came between $20MM and $20.5MM per year. As our Nikhil Mehta pointed out, that could establish a clear price range for Stanley.

Terron Armstead also carried a lengthy injury history into free agency in 2022; the Dolphins still rewarded him with $30.12MM guaranteed on a $15MM-per-year pact. The cap having spiked by more than $70MM since then should raise Stanley’s floor beyond this point.

The Ravens, who lost three O-line starters last year, want to keep him. Will they be able to? Compensatory picks have regularly dictated Baltimore’s free agency strategy, but letting Stanley walk would create a big need – in an offseason in which versatile blocker/former Stanley sub Patrick Mekari is also unattached.

Read more

Assessing Where QB Market Stands

This year’s veteran quarterback market consists of at least one Hall of Famer, possibly two. Although Aaron Rodgers and Russell Wilson are no longer in their primes, each is expected to play in 2025. Kirk Cousins is also lingering as a potential option.

Sam Darnold, however, headlines this free agent class — one that features four of the five QBs chosen in the 2021 first round. Only Justin Fields qualifies as a starter-level option from that quintet, as Mac Jones, Zach Wilson and Trey Lance will not garner attention on that level this year. Daniel Jones also hovers as an interesting option, despite his rough 2023 and ’24 showings.

The trade market, which technically includes Cousins, also has introduced a big name. The Rams continue to dangle Matthew Stafford. Even if this is merely to pinpoint his value as the sides haggle over a new contract, a handful of teams — chiefly the Raiders and Giants — have entered the fray for the former Super Bowl winner. Here is where these markets stand at the Combine:

Making sense of Stafford saga

It has now been five days since it became known the Rams were letting Matthew Stafford speak with other teams. Rather than seeking another reworking, Stafford is gunning for a new contract — and to become the oldest member of the $50MM-AAV club since Rodgers, who was there for a season. No one tied to a long-term deal averaging north of $50MM is older than 31; Stafford will play an age-37 season in 2025.

He is partially at fault for this value discrepancy. After all, Stafford had left money on the table during his initial Rams negotiations in an effort to help the team around him. That led to Stafford signing for four years and $160MM; that matched the Dak Prescott terms — though with less player-friendly language — at the time. It now sits 15th at the position..

The Browns and Steelers were loosely tied to Stafford, but the Giants and Raiders have stepped to the forefront. It would make more sense, were Stafford angling to jump to a roster that could form a contender, for him to consider the AFC North teams. But it is not known if they made serious pushes. As it stands, Giants and Raiders teams respectively coming off 3-14 and 4-13 seasons are in pursuit. The Giants have met with Stafford’s camp and asked about the QB before last year’s deadline, as their Jones plan was imploding. But the Silver and Black have done far more to indicate they are serious.

No matter how it happened, Stafford and new Raiders power broker Tom Brady met in Montana to discuss a potential fit. The Raiders have since come close on contract parameters, though it is not believed trade terms are worked out. Neither the Giants nor Raiders are open to meeting the Rams’ first-rounder asking price, as the teams hold Nos. 3 and 6. A high second-rounder headlining the package, or a potential future first, would make more sense.

Like the 49ers did with Brandon Aiyuk, the Rams still have the final say. They can opt to pay Stafford his modest roster bonus ($4MM) and work out a deal to ensure continuity for a team that has mounted stiff playoff challenges over the past two years. (As of now, however, L.A. is balking at a $50MM-per-year number.) Otherwise, the Rams risk falling backward without a quarterback plan.

Rodgers-Rams link emerges; who else makes sense for 20-year vet?

If the Rams truly go to the edge with Stafford, a report has emerged depicting Rodgers as an interested observer. Rodgers has been tied to wanting to join the Rams and to take Davante Adams with him once again. Adams was mentioned as a potential Rams target before Rodgers was thrown into the mix. It would be interesting to see the Rams try a formula that did not work for the Jets, but Rodgers — albeit at 41 — would be a capable option for far less than Stafford.

Our late-December poll about Rodgers fits did not place the Steelers as a realistic destination. Ditto the Browns. Both teams would benefit from a high-profile placeholder, though the four-time MVP’s current form may not be worth the baggage that also now comes with him.

While the Jets may not have issued an ultimatum regarding Rodgers’ Pat McAfee Show appearances, they are believed to have discussed the matter — as Gang Green’s new regime quickly decided to move on. A Jets team that lacks a surefire route to acquiring a more talented QB in 2025 announcing it would move on from Rodgers so soon is rather telling.

The Giants have not been tied to Rodgers, despite their Stafford pursuit and the team having no QBs contracted presently. If the Titans were to trade down from No. 1 overall, a veteran bridge would be logical as well. Thus far, however, Rodgers connections beyond the Rams have not surfaced.

Steelers to make internal call?

Thus far, the Steelers have been tied to a Wilson-or-Fields decision. The team has entered talks with both players, as the longstanding organizational policy prevents in-season negotiations. Early rumors pointed to Fields having a better chance to come back than Wilson, and the fifth-year veteran is interested in staying — should he receive a legitimate chance to start. Considering the raise the Steelers would need to authorize to either keep Fields off the open market or outbid other curious teams, it would stand to reason any arrangement in which Fields stays in Pittsburgh would come with a good chance to start.

Fields has long believed to have support in the Steelers’ building, dating back to when he closed the gap on Wilson — long positioned as the favorite for the job during the 2024 offseason — leading to a late Mike Tomlin decision. Although Fields did not show much improvement from his Bears form as a passer while filling in for Wilson, the Tomlin call to give the veteran the job back was not unanimous.

After Wilson struggled down the stretch (albeit with a limited receiving corps), suddenly he has not been as closely linked to the Steelers (though, he has repeatedly stated he wants to stay). Wilson, 36, would be competing with Rodgers (and perhaps Cousins) as a high-profile stopgap were the Steelers to work out something with Fields.

The Giants have been loosely tied to Wilson, whom they hosted on a short visit last year. That could be a team to monitor if this Steelers situation breaks Fields’ way, but a Pete Carroll reunion in Vegas — if Stafford and/or the Rams balk about a divorce — has been floated as a possibility.

Will Falcons really keep Cousins as backup?

Terry Fontenot has twice indicated the Falcons are fine keeping Cousins as a backup. He would be the most expensive backup in NFL history, being on a four-year deal worth $180MM. That contract came with $90MM at signing, covering Cousins’ 2025 salary. The Falcons would also owe him $10MM more, in the form of a 2026 roster bonus that vests a year out, if he is still on the roster on Day 5 of the 2025 league year.

The team paying Cousins that bonus would be interesting, but this situation does differ a bit from the Broncos’ decision to cut Wilson, as they the AFC West club was protecting itself against his 2025 base salary becoming guaranteed. The Falcons already have to eat a $27.5MM base, regardless of how they proceed with the 14th-year vet, but they would have a faint hope of trading the Cousins contract. That makes Atlanta’s route interesting, as Fontenot is now 0-for-4 in playoff berths or .500 seasons as a GM. Michael Penix Jr. emerging as a solid starter would minimize the damage from the Cousins miss, but time would seem to be running out on a struggling decision-maker.

The Browns have been linked to Cousins, who played under Kevin Stefanski for two seasons in Minnesota. Considering the Browns’ Deshaun Watson mess extends through 2026, Cousins on a vet-minimum deal — what he would almost certainly be tied to due were the Falcons to cut him, due to offset language in his current contract — would seem rather enticing for Cleveland. Cleveland also has a direct path to either Cameron Ward or Shedeur Sanders, however. Cousins may be leery of finding himself in the same situation as 2024, but after a down season, the soon-to-be 37-year-old’s options will be limited.

The Vikings’ decision

In a more commanding position with Darnold than they were with Cousins in 2024, the Vikings could send the best free agent option to the market or hang onto him as either high-priced J.J. McCarthy insurance (via the franchise tag) or a trade asset (in a tag-and-trade move). Either way, this is a much better spot for Minnesota compared to last year, when its starter left and stuck the team with a $28.5MM dead money bill.

Kwesi Adofo-Mensah has been cagey about his choice, but less than a week remains until the Vikings must decide on a tag. No tag by 3pm CT on March 4 would effectively send Darnold to free agency. This would be a better financial path for the rejuvenated passer, who played for $4.5MM in 2023 and $10MM in 2024. A host of QB-needy teams would pursue Darnold, ensuring plenty of guaranteed money will be available beyond Year 1. The Raiders were connected early, and other teams would be ready to enter the mix. Back in December, the Browns were mentioned as a party monitoring this situation

We have heard the Vikings being a bit leery of applying the tag, at more than $40MM, which could open the door to the team letting Darnold walk and huddling back up with Jones as a much cheaper McCarthy insurance option. Kevin O’Connell has spoken highly of Jones, who could be a Darnold-, Baker Mayfield– or Geno Smith-like rejuvenation candidate under the reigning Coach of the Year. Jones would be far less costly than Darnold. The six-year Giant would be a bridge candidate elsewhere, on a one-year deal, but he would naturally be interested in seeing how the Vikings handle the Darnold matter.

A rumor about McCarthy needing plenty of work included a GM predicting the Vikings tag Darnold to protect themselves; more Darnold tag rumors also surfaced before his struggles in Week 18 and in Round 1. Despite his late-season faceplant, the former No. 3 overall pick belatedly delivered on his USC hype under O’Connell. After Mayfield and Smith proved their resurgences were far from fluky, Darnold will be the unquestioned prize on this year’s market. The Vikings will, then, have the most important say in this year’s free agency.