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We take a look at our favorite Steelers-Ravens player prop bets for the Wild Card Round.
The NFL playoffs kick off Saturday with Super Wildcard Weekend, with the Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens playing their third matchup of the year.
Here are a few of our favorite player props to consider for the Steelers-Ravens in the first round of the 2024-25 NFL playoffs.
Najee Harris OVER 12.5 rush attempts (-102)
The rapid fashion in which the Steelers’ last matchup in Baltimore got out of control has apparently given most fans amnesia… because historically, the Steelers play the Ravens pretty capably, keeping the score close, winning six of their last eight matchups. That’s historically allowed the Steelers to play exactly the type of ball they want to against their divisional opponent — possession football. HC Mike Tomlin has reiterated his goals to control the ball and keep it away from Lamar Jackson & Co., a brand of defense in its own right. Even if they haven’t found a foolproof recipe to establish the run just yet, I expect the Steelers will make another attempt with the season in the line and a struggling passing game.
Harris has exceeded 12 rush attempts in five of his eight career matchups against the Ravens, including four of the last five, and had 18 rush attempts in their 18-16 win over Baltimore back in Week 11.
Lamar Jackson UNDER 49.5 rushing yards (-110)
Everyone knows containing Lamar Jackson as a runner is priority No. 1 and perhaps the most challenging task the defense will be faced with in this Wild Card matchup. However, containing mobile quarterbacks is an undertaking in which the Steelers have been successful this season. In Week 16, even without starter Larry Ogunjobi on the DL and DeShon Elliott at safety (a key factor in run support), Jackson was held to just 22 yards, and back in Week 11, he ran for just 46 yards. A healthier Steelers defense should be able to contain him, even in a tricky road game.
Isaiah Likely OVER 28.5 receiving yards (-113)
Normally, as a Steelers blog, I prefer to avoid the “over” on Ravens player props unless they benefit the Steelers (INTs, fumbles). However, Likely’s receiving line at 28.5 yards feels like a tremendous value given the absence of Zay Flowers in this matchup, currently out with a knee injury. Though Andrews is the preferred go-to guy in the red zone, Likely’s bound to play an increased role in the receiving game given Zay Flowers’ absence. Even with starting TE Mark Andrews and Flowers active, Likely has hit this over in three of the past five weeks.